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August 31, 2021CANADA GDP BY INDUSTRY, JUNE 2021 With May reference month results, year-over-year (June 2021 vs June 2020) and year-to-date (Jan-Jun 21 vs Jan-Jun 20) are showing the rebounds in economic activity from the unprecedented declines observed at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Canada increased 0.7% in June 2021, following a 0.5% decline recorded in May 2021. The monthly increase was due to expansion both in service-producing industries (+0.7%) and goods-producing industries (+0.9%). Overall, 15 of 20 industries were up.
The Canadian economy was 1.5% smaller when compared to pre-pandemic February 2020 with an annualized value of $1,970 billion (chained 2012 dollars) in June 2021.
Statistics Canada’s preliminary estimate for real GDP points to an approximate 0.4% decrease in July 2021. Continued easing of public health measures in many provinces initiated in June supported growth in accommodation and food services sector. Manufacturing, construction, and retail trade declined. The official GDP data for July 2021 will be published on October 1, 2021.
Goods-Producing Industries
Goods-producing sector output rose 0.9% month-over-month in June 2021. Higher activity in mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction, utilities, manufacturing, and agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting contributed to good-producing sector growth while construction activity partially offset the growth of good-producing sector.
Manufacturing real GDP increased 1.3% in June. Durable manufacturing increased 2.2% on increases recorded in transportation equipment (+2.8%), fabricated metal product (+4.2%), machinery (+1.9%), and miscellaneous (+4.5%) manufacturing. Activity in non-durable manufacturing (+0.4%) also increased with higher activity in petroleum and coal product (+4.3%), chemical (+0.6%), food (+0.5%), and printing and related support activities (+2.5%) manufacturing.
Mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction increased 1.7% in June with gains in all three sub-sectors. Oil and gas subsector increased 2.1% in June posting the third gain in the last four months. This was driven by higher oil sands extraction as crude bitumen and synthetic oil production increased in Alberta for the second consecutive month. Mining and quarrying (except oil and gas) rose 1.4% in June, growing for the seventh time in the last eight months.
Utilities real GDP was up 3.6% in June, the largest monthly gain since January 2004, led by higher electric power generation, transmission and distribution, with a record heatwave in Western Canada and many other parts of the country.
Construction activity was down 0.9% in June following a 2.4% decline in May. Residential building construction declined 2.3% posting the second consecutive decline after reaching a record high in April 2021. June’s decline was primarily driven by lower activity in single-family homes and doubles construction. Non-residential building construction decreased 1.1%, led by declines in commercial, industrial building and structure building construction.
Services-Producing Industries
Output of services-producing sector increased 0.7% in June 2021.
Accommodation and food services increased 15.0% in June following declines in April and May as lockdown measures were reintroduced in many parts of Canada to contain the third wave of COVID-19 outbreaks. Easing of public health measures in many provinces in June supported growth in accommodation and food services sector. Food services and drinking places increased 18.9% and accommodation services increased 4.7%.
Retail trade activity increased 4.0% in June with increases in 8 of 12 subsectors. Easing of public health measures increased retail activity. Clothing and clothing accessories (+41.8%), general merchandise (+9.0%), furniture and home furnishings (+14.7%), and sporting goods, hobby, book and music (+20.1%) stores posted the largest gains.
The arts, entertainment and recreation activities increased 6.4% in June led by gains in amusement, gambling and recreation industries (+9.1%) on easing of public health restrictions across the country.
Transportation and warehousing increased 1.1% in June led by gains in air transportation (+85.9%), and smaller gains in support activities for transportation (+1.3%), and truck transportation (+0.8%).
Public sector (educational services, health care and social assistance, and public administration) grew 0.4% in June. Educational services increased 0.4% in June led by growth in elementary and secondary schools.
Health care and social assistance increased 0.4%, led by higher ambulatory health care services (+0.6%) and hospitals (+0.5%).
Wholesale trade was down 1.5% in June, the fourth decline in last five months. Gains recorded in personal and household goods (+3.7%) and motor vehicle and motor vehicle parts and accessories (+2.4%) were more than offset by declines seen in machinery, equipment and supplies subsector (-3.8%) and building material and supplies (-5.5%).
Real estate was down 0.3% in June, the third consecutive monthly decline. Home resale activity slowed across the country with largest declines in Ontario, British Columbia and Alberta.
June 2021 vs February 2020
Canadian real GDP was 1.5% lower when compared to February 2020.
Amid the COVID-19 pandemic and economic recovery, the largest declines in activity have been in arts, entertainment and recreation (-49.8%), accommodation and food services (-28.0%) and management of companies and enterprises (-26.8%). Activity increased the most in agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting (+7.9%), finance and insurance (+5.1%) and retail trade (+3.8%) from February 2020.
Year-Over-Year (June 2021 vs June 2020)
Canadian real GDP was 8.0% higher than in June 2020.The largest rebounds, in percentage terms, have been in accommodation and food services, arts, entertainment and recreation, health care and social assistance, and other services (personal, repair). Management of companies declined relative to June 2020.
Year-to-Date (Jan-Jun 2021 vs Jan-Jun 2020)
The Canadian economy in the first six months of 2021 increased 6.7% compared to the same period in 2020.
Compared to the same period last year, the largest increases in activity have been in retail trade (+13.7%), health care and social assistance (+12.6%), and wholesale trade (+11.4%). Activity decreased the most in arts, entertainment and recreation (-24.0%), management of companies (-18.1%), and transportation and warehousing (-2.7%).
Source: Statistics Canada, Table 36-10-0434-01 Gross domestic product (GDP) at basic prices, by industry, monthly (x 1,000,000)
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